Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.223238 2.536527 2.878301 3.278873 3.735588 4.240225 4.840325
2025-08-31 1.746805 2.173797 2.681217 3.328913 4.134284 5.103650 6.360557
2025-09-07 1.455976 1.923319 2.512324 3.309651 4.362100 5.705800 7.555310
2025-09-14 1.237831 1.717071 2.350863 3.251164 4.499214 6.171655 8.589463
2025-09-21 1.082321 1.566368 2.233816 3.222420 4.652460 6.651065 9.666417
2025-09-28 0.952872 1.432317 2.118579 3.173835 4.759587 7.060878 10.668392
2025-10-05 0.917944 1.428724 2.185358 3.389582 5.263743 8.079479 12.651800
2025-10-12 0.841555 1.352577 2.133899 3.417555 5.481025 8.681956 14.051845
2025-10-19 0.796698 1.319599 2.143137 3.537068 5.846840 9.539008 15.925326
2025-10-26 0.728386 1.241019 2.071167 3.516168 5.979819 10.030626 17.241715
2025-11-02 0.670148 1.172801 2.008561 3.502494 6.119459 10.539159 18.624913
2025-11-09 0.608811 1.092949 1.918384 3.431629 6.151594 10.863862 19.712189
2025-11-16 0.569487 1.051903 1.897817 3.493100 6.444407 11.705518 21.876736
2025-11-23 0.530885 1.008940 1.871069 3.543604 6.728426 12.570367 24.199270
2025-11-30 0.487011 0.950997 1.810407 3.523218 6.875633 13.194700 26.128600
2025-12-07 0.442891 0.887598 1.732649 3.460927 6.933952 13.653508 27.779639
2025-12-14 0.407512 0.837400 1.674693 3.430317 7.049151 14.229433 29.718690
2025-12-21 0.373592 0.786450 1.609923 3.378578 7.114806 14.710416 31.508942
2025-12-28 0.371829 0.801533 1.678880 3.608334 7.783816 16.477906 36.183355
2026-01-04 0.350396 0.772700 1.654471 3.638124 8.031410 17.391308 39.111189
2026-01-11 0.339519 0.765494 1.674575 3.765402 8.501815 18.821231 43.324543
2026-01-18 0.316727 0.729529 1.629243 3.743144 8.637290 19.533214 45.985952
2026-01-25 0.296542 0.697407 1.589217 3.728581 8.788022 20.291770 48.831483